Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel carries the ball as the Oregon Ducks host the Maryland Terrapins at Autzen Stadium Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024 in Eugene, Ore.

College Football Playoff Rankings: First-Round Projections and Key Matchups

The second official College Football Playoff rankings were released on Tuesday and the Oregon Ducks remain atop of the list. Here is a bracket projection heading into Week 12 as none of the byes will formally be earned until a team wins a conference championship.

First-round matchups:

For the four teams with a first round bye, it remains extremely unlikely that this would be the final four following conference matchups and its impact on playoff seeding. Conference championships will begin Dec. 6 through the 7th, and the official CFB Playoff selection follows on Dec. 8. Because of that, this next month is the most important time of the year where every game matters more now than ever.

With the four highest-ranked conference champions receiving the top four seeds and byes, the remaining eight teams in the bracket meet in the first round. Here are those games, played at campus sites from Dec. 20 to Dec. 21:

  • No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State
  • No. 11 Ole Miss at No. 6 Penn State
  • No. 10 Alabama at No. 7 Indiana
  • No. 9 Notre Dame at No. 8 Tennessee

As of Thursday, Georgia would be the first team left out from the 12-team playoff. Army would be the next-highest-rated conference champion behind Boise State if Boise were to fall.

Key Upcoming Matchups and Implications:

Nov. 16: No. 7 Tennessee @ No. 11 Georgia, 7:30 p.m. ET

Georgia, who fell 28-10 to No. 10 Ole Miss last week, takes on Tennessee at Sanford Stadium on Saturday in what might be a CFP elimination game for either team. The Bulldogs also look to avoid losing their first back-to-back regular season games since 2016, Smart’s first season coaching.

Nov. 16: No. 3 Texas @ Arkansas, 12 p.m. ET

I have this game on the radar because this rivalry game has every chance of throwing the SEC into shambles if the Razorbacks come out with a win. The Razorbacks already took down then No. 4 Tennessee in Week 6, 19-14, in Arkansas. Not only is the Arkansas 6-foot-6 QB Taylen Green one of the most athletic QBs in the nation, but he also has one of the most electric wide receivers in the country at his disposal in Andrew Armstrong.

Nov. 23: No. 5 Indiana @ No. 2 Ohio St., 12 p.m. ET

Indiana will take on the Buckeyes as underdogs for the first time in 2024. Not only are they underdogs, but the Buckeyes are also a whopping 9.5-point favorite. Despite having the first 10-0 start in school history, the Hoosiers’ strength of schedule has a lot of people skeptical about how far they would go if given a bid. Lucky for them, they have the perfect opportunity in Week 13.

Can Army Sneak In?

Nov. 23: No. 24 Army @ No. 8 Notre Dame, 7 p.m. ET

Although Army continues to make modern era history in the college football rankings, the Black Knights’ have yet to face their biggest challenge. I say modern era because Army has now been ranked for four-consecutive weeks for the first time since 1958 when Pete Dawkins won the Heisman Trophy. Notre Dame, however, continues to inch ever closer to a first-round home game in this year’s College Football Playoff. With Army being the final ranked opponent on the Fighting Irish’s schedule, you can expect the best from both teams.

About Riley Sullivan

Riley Sullivan is a current senior at the University of Florida studying journalism with a specialization in sports and media. As a life-long Gators fan, Riley has pursued a career in sports reporting, one day hopefully working for his favorite NFL team, the Minnesota Vikings.

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